Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.039546 0.043166 0.046975 0.051283 0.056024 0.061085 0.066903
2026-02-01 0.031624 0.036604 0.042183 0.048911 0.056821 0.065847 0.076957
2026-02-08 0.026381 0.032056 0.038755 0.047279 0.057880 0.070685 0.087410
2026-02-15 0.022600 0.028606 0.036017 0.045887 0.058767 0.075111 0.097591
2026-02-22 0.020384 0.026739 0.034892 0.046198 0.061597 0.082019 0.111455
2026-03-01 0.017961 0.024291 0.032686 0.044742 0.061786 0.085279 0.120564
2026-03-08 0.015579 0.021633 0.029898 0.042133 0.060004 0.085488 0.125186
2026-03-15 0.014086 0.020048 0.028411 0.041150 0.060338 0.088601 0.134192
2026-03-22 0.013288 0.019367 0.028119 0.041826 0.063103 0.095447 0.149448
2026-03-29 0.012589 0.018760 0.027861 0.042491 0.065852 0.102444 0.165568
2026-04-05 0.011698 0.017781 0.026954 0.042050 0.066783 0.106597 0.177371
2026-04-12 0.010919 0.016911 0.026135 0.041658 0.067718 0.110776 0.189549
2026-04-19 0.010091 0.015919 0.025075 0.040828 0.067924 0.113871 0.200388
2026-04-26 0.009220 0.014798 0.023731 0.039421 0.067033 0.115021 0.207892
2026-05-03 0.008497 0.013867 0.022627 0.038326 0.066578 0.116875 0.216875
2026-05-10 0.007859 0.013030 0.021616 0.037304 0.066148 0.118704 0.225959
2026-05-17 0.007510 0.012658 0.021363 0.037592 0.068105 0.125070 0.244559
2026-05-24 0.006953 0.011887 0.020364 0.036446 0.067277 0.126073 0.252414
2026-05-31 0.006297 0.010900 0.018919 0.034364 0.064487 0.123019 0.251503
2026-06-07 0.005893 0.010337 0.018194 0.033579 0.064144 0.124751 0.260907
2026-06-14 0.005712 0.010165 0.018168 0.034123 0.066469 0.132055 0.283215
2026-06-21 0.005541 0.010000 0.018140 0.034656 0.068810 0.139591 0.306884
2026-06-28 0.005265 0.009621 0.017684 0.034303 0.069283 0.143213 0.321958